Everyone is aware that Kansas State was shocked in the first week of the season in a 24-21 loss to North Dakota State. However, the Wildcats come into week four with back to back wins under their belt . This is a new look Kansas State team in the sense that they don’t have Heisman candidate Colin Klein manning the ship on offense, and Mr. Do Everything Sir Arthur Brown on defense. It is still a traditional hard nose Bill Snyder team, but with the absence of Brown things aren’t the same on defense. The Wildcats come off a blow out of UMass this past week where the game was simply over by halftime. The focal point of this Wildcat offense this year is a guy who I said was the key to last year’s game against the Longhorns. Once again I feel John Hubert is the player who will decide the fate for the Wildcats in this game. When Kansas State was upset against North Dakota State in week one, Hupert only carried the ball 10 times. Since that loss Hupert has had over 15+ touches per game. Kansas State’s quarterback Jake Waters is more of a thrower, so look for him to test the longhorn secondary by going deep to one of the fastest and most athletic players in the Big 12 in Tyler Lockett. Another wrinkle you could see from K State is running some of the offense they ran so much with Colin Klein last year only with backup quarterback Daniel Sams. He has been inserted into games to offer a different look and with the Horns struggles with the read option the last few weeks I’m sure Coach Snyder would love to keep it old school and run it to they stop it.
Although they claim that their spirits are still high and Mack Brown was quoted in calling the first three games “like pre-season games” this team is in a desperate must win situation against the Wildcats. I suspect you will see more and the same from Kansas State with John Hupert getting plenty of carries out of the back field and even catching the ball in the flats. Kansas State’s defense is still growing and isn’t a traditional Bill Snyder defense in the sense of bend without breaking. The Kansas State defense can give up points as seen early on this year against SDSU and UL-Lafayette. Keep a watchful eye on Tyler Lockett in the special teams game, he can change momentum like that with a big play on Kick/Punt Return. If the Horns offense can play the way they did late in the second quarter of the Ole Miss game scoring on five consecutive drives, they can make this a typical Big 12 shootout. I suspect the Horns will try and establish the running game early with Jonathan Gray and try and play keep away from Hupert and the Kansas State offense. With all the off season talk from Kansas State about Texas being a team that is soft, I feel Mack will try to use that as motivation. The Horns have no choice but not back down after they get hit in the mouth in this one. But, I feel it will be too much Hupert in the end. He gets over 20 touches and the Wildcats continue the streak against Texas.
Players to watch for Kansas St:
#33 John Hupert, #16 Tyler Lockett,#4 Daniel Sams
Take the Wildcats +4.5